Humidity Determines Wine Evaporation
Even though both water and ethanol evaporate through the barrel, they do so at different rates. Several factors determine the relative evaporation rates, including the differing molecular weights, the concentration-gradient effects of the relative humidity of the cellar, and the concentration of ethanol in the cellar atmosphere.
Surprisingly, little actual research into the kinetics of the relative evaporation rates of the water and ethanol content of the wine has been published. The research that exists seems to indicate that water and ethanol evaporate at roughly the same rate when the cellar humidity is about 70 percent. When the cellar is drier, water evaporates more quickly from barrels than ethanol. This is reversed in a more humid cellar. As a consequence, the ethanol concentration increases in wine in barrels with cellar humidity below 70 percent while the ethanol concentration decreases in cellar humidity above 70.
This doesn't necessarily mean that 70 percent is the optimum level. Barrel rooms with humidity levels above 70 percent will have lower overall evaporative losses even though the ethanol evaporates slightly faster than the water. The rate of ethanol evaporation is affected by the amount of ethanol vapor in the cellar atmosphere as well as the relative humidity of the cellar. More ethanol in the air will slow down the ethanol evaporation rate.
Concentration Effects
Non-volatile molecules, and most molecules larger than ethanol, are not removed during barrel aging. Since the élevage removes water and ethanol, this means that the concentrations of these other wine components increase slightly as the wine is aged. The rate and extent of this concentration effect is dependent upon the combined evaporation rate of both the ethanol and water content of the wine.